If Trump were to win Florida again, Democrats would need to recapture three Midwestern states in the Rust Belt — … During the 1980s, the colors were reversed and red states were democratic while blue states were republican. All but 10 states1 1Plus one congressional district in Nebraska had voted consistently Democratic or Republican for (at least) the prior four consecutive presidential elections. © 2020 Electoral Ventures LLC. In Rae's analysis, Joe Biden, a relatively conservative Democrat, looks to be a more "middle-of-the-road" choice. Sorry, your blog cannot share posts by email. For example, if the national average is 51% Democratic, and the Democratic candidate of a state wins 62% of a two-party share, then that state voted 11 percentage points more Democratic than the country, for D+11. In 2018 alone, over 86,000 residents moved from the Golden State to the Lone Star State, citing the lower cost of living, bigger houses and laid-back lifestyle. What is a red state? What is a red state? Rae predicts that the white population will probably be a minority in 25-30 years, with ethnic minorities, particularly Latinos, growing across the country. That kind of puts President Donald Trump in a gridlock because he can't sympathize so much without losing his white working-class base. Those states – the purple states, competitive states, or battleground states – include: Here are the 10 states with the largest Democratic advantage: State Partisanship Shifts Toward Democratic Party in 2017. US-Wahl 2020 : Die Macht der Swing States Die Kandidaten aller Parteien werben um die Stimmen der Minderheiten. It was during the 2000 presidential election when journalist Tim Russert used the terms “red states” and “blue states” based on the colored maps that were used during his televised coverage. If a state is a “red state,” the voters within that state primarily vote for the Republican Party. Sie haben zum Beispiel in Staaten wie Texas, Arizona und Florida besonders großen Einfluss. Accompanying the pandemic and its ensuing consequences is social chaos, notably the Black Lives Matter protests sweeping the country. At the start of the 2020 cycle, the Senate wasn't expected to be all that exciting, with Republicans largely on defense in red states. These “dark red” states can also include Utah (R+20), Oklahoma (R+20), Idaho (R+19), and North Dakota (R+17). But a place like in California relies on personal income tax for most of its revenue," said Zhao Minghao, a long-time observer of China-U.S. relations, during an interview with CGTN. As the 2016 election cycle approached, the electoral map had become pretty predictable. Guidance for the Brookings community and the public on our response to the coronavirus (COVID-19) », Learn more from Brookings scholars about the global response to coronavirus (COVID-19) ». For the GOP, this represented 179 electoral votes. In the past few years, reports on a "California exodus" have been making waves. The jobless rate in Texas is around 13 percent, a record high, while that in Arizona remains at twice the pre-coronavirus level. Further highlighting this polarization: While relatively competitive overall, only four states (FL, NC, OH, VA) were decided by less than 5% popular vote margin in the 2012 presidential election. Interactive Map for the FiveThirtyEight House Forecast, Sabato's Crystal Ball Updates Election Outlook. Red states desire to preserve the political philosophy and regulations articulated in the Declaration of Independence and the Constitution and preserve traditional morality, such as that in the Bible. Below is an interactive version of the map presented by Sosnik, with red and blue states and the battleground states he identified in grey. In den USA werden die Bundesstaaten üblicherweise nach ihren politischen Mehrheiten in „rote“ und „blaue“ Staaten unterschieden. And, how do states like Pennsylvania, Georgia, and Texas—with both large urban areas and widespread rural areas—express this red-blue divide between rural and metropolitan areas? In West Virgina holte Trump bei der vergangenen Präsidentenwahl (2016) 68,6 Prozent der Stimmen, in Alabama 62,9 Prozent und in Oklahoma 65,3 Prozent. The Cook Partisan Voting Index (PVI) shown in the table below is a measurement of how strongly a United States congressional district or states leans toward the Democratic or Republican Party compared to the national average. Sie hat derzeit die Mehrheit in beiden Kammern des Kongresses, dem Repräsentantenhaus und dem Senat. Add economic woes from COVID-19, social upheaval and demographic shifts into the mix and you can expect the upcoming months to be a roller-coaster ride. They shut down too late, reopened too early and considered another shutdown, further fueling the estrangement from local officials, in particular from metropolises largely dominated by Democrats. 2016 also saw a significant increase in highly competitive races. Here, too, there’s a big divide between red and blue states: In blue-state major cities, the homeless population rose since 2011 while, in red states, major city homeless numbers dropped steadily. Beijing ICP prepared NO.16065310-3. Since 2010, more people have moved out of California than moved in. What is a blue state? This hasn’t always been the case, however. "More liberal Californians have been moving into Nevada and Arizona that are changing those more Democratic. Umfragen deuten dieses Jahr auch in anderen Staaten auf einen offenen Stimmausgang hin, darunter North Carolina und Arizona. David Damore, Robert Lang, and Karen Danielsen, all professors at the University of Nevada Las Vegas, are co-authors of Blue Metros, Red States: The Shifting Urban-Rural Divide in America’s Swing States. Washington Bei den Präsidentschaftswahlen in den USA hat sich in den vergangenen Jahren herauskristalisiert, dass eine Mehrheit in bestimmten Staaten häufig zu derselben Partei tendiert. Since that time, media outlets have used red for Republican and blue for Democrat as the standard color scheme for their maps. During the 1980s, Democrats were associated with the color red, while Republicans were represented by the color blue. Blue states vote Democratic and tend to have more liberal views. Those states are: Out of these states, some are considered to be “dark red” because they lean more republican than the other states. Another seven states, as well as Nebraska's 2nd congressional district, were decided by less than 5%. Even before the outbreak, states such as Nevada and Arizona saw this transition. During the U.S. Presidential Election in 2000, journalist Tim Russert used the terms “red state” and “blue state” based on the colored maps that were used during his televised coverage of the election. Talking of Trump's solid voter base, if the economy hadn't been rocked by the virus, Trump would still probably have the confidence in winning these voters rather than really facing an uphill struggle, according to Rae. US-Präsident Donald Trump (74) bewirbt sich für die Republikaner um eine zweite Amtszeit. Dazu gehören unter anderem … Local economies have taken serious hits due to shutdowns of restaurants and entertainment venues. The measurement of how strongly a United States congressional district or state leans toward the Democratic or Republican Party compared to the nation as a whole is known as the Cook Partisan Voting Index (PVI). All Rights Reserved. Vor seinem Wahlsieg 2016 war der New Yorker vor allem als exzentrischer Immobilienmogul bekannt. What is a blue state? In Virginia and North Carolina which used to be very conservative, you have again professionals from different parts of the country moving into those states," James Rae, professor of politics at California State University, told CGTN. US-Wahl 2020 : Die Macht der Swing States Die Kandidaten aller Parteien werben um die Stimmen der Minderheiten. Der Kommentarbereich ist geschlossen. Post was not sent - check your email addresses! The term red state is also used to describe a state that is perceived to have conservative views, while a blue state is understood to have more liberal views. According to Gallup tracking, there were 15 stable blue states in 2017. But this year's election looks to set itself apart in the annals of unpredictability, as states that have been solidly red for the past few decades are turning blue. Sie werden häufig auch als „Swing States“ bezeichnet - die Farbezeichnung „purple“ beziehungsweise „lila“ steht dabei für die Mischung aus blau und rot. If you're curious how long the streak is for each state, visit our 'Same Since' Electoral Map Timeline. For the GOP, this represented 179 electoral votes. Texas, which has sided with Republican presidents for four decades, stands out as the most prominent one that's undergoing the shift. A budget shortfall will probably prompt red states to tilt toward the Democratic Party if COVID-19 continues unabated, he said. Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin and one district in Maine voted Republican in 2016. Every U.S. election in recent years has upended convention. In „roten Staaten“ hat in der Vergangenheit eine Mehrheit der Wähler für die Republikanische Partei gestimmt. As new cases of infection continue to climb in populous states such as Texas, healthcare facilities have struggled to handle the surge without enough medicine, hospital beds, ventilators and even personnel. October 4, 2020 The following story is brought to you courtesy of The Blaze. Those states are: The same data show that four additional states lean toward being Democratic states. With the above-referenced shifts, the 'blue wall' and the 'red wall' are now of roughly equivalent size. Die Republikanische Partei ist eine der beiden großen Parteien in den USA, vertritt konservative Werte und steht traditionell für möglichst wenige staatliche Eingriffe ins Leben der Bürger. Create a specific match-up by clicking the party and/or names near the electoral vote counter. House balance takes into account the number of independents in a state. Subscribe to Brookings podcasts here or on iTunes, send feedback email to BCP@Brookings.edu, and follow us and tweet us at @policypodcasts on Twitter. "In many red states like Florida and Texas, state budgets mainly come from sales tax, which has sharply dived off because of the pandemic. The pandemic has hit the country hard, but some regions have had it rougher than others.
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