Plus, unlike Garcia, Reynolds can hit to all fields. Reynolds went 1-for-4 with a two-run homer in Saturday's 8-0 win over Cleveland. A high BAbip usually means you got lucky as most of the time, as balls that are not home runs don’t turn into hits more than 30% of the time. Sign in to follow this . Now that probably makes you think that the person with the most hits usually has a high BAbip, but that isn’t the case. Pasted as rich text. There's a 20-homer/20-steal left fielder here if you squint hard enough, and that's enough to warrant ownership in leagues where 200 prospects are rostered. However, BAbip should be compared more toward the player’s previous seasons and career averages more than the MLB average. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account. It should be noted that you should weigh a player’s BAbip more with their career average than the league average. Reynolds hit .314/.377/.503 in 546 plate appearances. Although we went to the opposite field just 26.3% of the time, that was still better than the league average of 25%. You can post now and register later. NOTICE: No Bench Coach Discussion in This Forum. But through this all, he carried a .392 BAbip. He can hit to all fields, and hits the ball hard most of the time. Your privacy is safe with us. Plus, in 2019, Reynolds made hard contact 43% of the time, which was 5% above the MLB average. If I’ve drafted a couple batting average drains earlier in the draft he becomes a big target of mine later. Reynolds, who was acquired from the Giants in the Andrew McCutchen trade, opened the season with Triple-A Indianapolis, where he hit .367 with five homers in 13 games before getting called up to the majors to replace the injured Starling Marte. To me Reynolds' value is context driven. Now, yes, his BAbip fell to .271, which was far below .300, this shouldn’t be a huge surprise. This included 16 home runs, 37 doubles, and a 131 wRC+/OPS+. His 124 wRC+ in a small sample at Low-A looks solid, but a .452 BABIP was largely to blame for his success there. The following season, Garcia failed to even come close to replicating his 2017. Your link has been automatically embedded. Build your custom FanSided Daily email newsletter with news and analysis on Pittsburgh Pirates and all your favorite sports teams, TV shows, and more. As long as Reynolds doesn’t struggle in becoming extremely predictable to where he will hit the ball, or start making much more soft contact, it is hard to envision him regressing much from his strong rookie campaign. Reynolds went 3-for-4 with a solo home run and two runs scored in the 7-0 win over the Cubs on Thursday. Now, let’s look at main focus here, the 2019 season of Pittsburgh Pirates outfielder Bryan Reynolds. David Regan examines guys who have performed better or worse than expected this season, including White Sox shortstop Tim Anderson, who Regan thought would regress this year. Reynolds was one of the surprises of the draft. This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. He had never flashed much power in the minors before this past season, but seemed to have a good approach the past couple of seasons. While Reynolds struggled down the stretch (.230 AVG in September), showed platoon splits (.756 OPS vs. LHP, .931 OPS vs. RHP) and ultimately benefitted from a .387 BABIP, the underlying numbers largely support his breakout. He also owned a 89.6 MPH exit velocity, which sat behind Freddie Freeman (89.7 MPH) and just ahead of Vlad Guerrero Jr. (89.4 MPH). A 20/80/80/5 .290 season is very realistic and would greatly outperform his ADP. Garcia only went to the opposite field 21.3% of the time in 2017, and pulled the ball 42.2% of the time, making it easier for opponents to predict where he would hit the ball to, and adjust accordingly. By Homerj24, February 18 in Fantasy Baseball Talk. Clear editor. Now, yes, he did pull the ball more often than not, but not at an extreme rate. Display as a link instead, × Your previous content has been restored. He also had a strong .375 wOBA, putting him in the top 30 of all qualified batters in 2017. Based on his frame I'd think he has some potential for some power, but has never shown it. A higher BAbip is sustainable if the batter keeps up a hard hit rate, and solid opposite/center/pull rates as well. However, Reynolds posted a worrisome .387 batting average on balls in play. 2020 Fantasy Outlook Reynolds, who was acquired from the Giants in the Andrew McCutchen trade, opened the season with Triple-A Indianapolis, where he hit .367 with five homers in 13 games before getting called up to the majors to replace the injured Starling Marte. © Copyright 2020 - Roto Sports, Inc. All Rights Reserved, See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats. Last year, it was .298. What are expectations for 2020? I really like the guy...[...] Going to be on a lot of my teams this season. In David Regan’s final column of the season, he lists breakout studs and fantasy duds, with Yankees’ first baseman Luke Voit making the stud list. He also posted a strong 138 wRC+ and OPS+, meaning he was 38% above the league average. Between 2015 and 2016, Garcia posted a much more reasonable .315 BAbip, but his overall slash line included a weak .252/.308/.374 line, an 87 wRC+, and a fWAR of just 0.1. He lived up to his billing as a quality hitter, particularly with short-season Salem-Keizer (141 wRC+), but after getting promoted to Low-A Augusta in August, some strikeout issues began to surface. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. Bryan Reynolds 2020 Outlook. × Juan Pablo Aravena breaks down Wednesday's White Sox at Pirates game for Dream11 contests. And Reynolds’ average BAbip throughout the minors was .378, which is not very far off from his rookie season. He's just 6-for-40 so far through September. Despite a high batting average on balls in play during a great rookie campaign, Pittsburgh Pirates outfielder Bryan Reynolds is unlikely to experience a large regression in 2020 If you need average, he will be one of the best bets late in drafts.
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