These population projections are not forecasts. Thus, the provincial estimation model and the provincial projection model are accounting models that have the same components (e.g., births, deaths, etc. As a result, Quebec's share of the total Canadian population could decrease from 22.6% in 2018 to between 20.1% and 20.6% by 2043. While the population of the three territories would increase in all projection scenarios, its share of the total Canadian population would remain stable, at 0.3% between 2018 and 2043. Statistics Canada publishes several scenarios to highlight the uncertain nature of population projections, making it clear that the future is not yet defined. The Canadian population appears to be stable in many respects: life expectancy is gradually increasing, fertility has been hovering around 1.5 to 1.7 children per woman for the last 40 years, and the annual immigration rate has averaged about 7.5 per thousand since 2000. 2025: 39,172,922 330,699* Profit from additional features by authenticating your Admin account. Then you will be able to mark statistics as favourites and use personal statistics alerts. As a result, centenarians would be the fastest-growing age group between 2018 and 2068. In your browser settings you can configure or disable this, respectively, and can delete any already placed cookies. Population growth, however, is likely to vary across the country, with the population of some provinces and territories increasing and others decreasing. Population projections provide an opportunity to think about changes that the country will probably experience in the future. The aging of the baby-boom cohort will have many repercussions as this cohort reaches the ages that generally separate working life from retirement. Can't find what you're looking for? Data are extracted from administrative files and derived from other Statistics Canada surveys and/or other sources. Ontario would remain the most populous province according to all scenarios. The projections cover a 25-year period (up to 2043) for the provinces and territories, and a 50-year period (up to 2068) for Canada as a whole. For example, assumptions that entail low fertility, low mortality, low immigration, high emigration and low numbers of non-permanent residents are the foundation of the fast-aging scenario. Statistics Canada has been publishing demographic projections for Canada, the provinces and the territories approximately every five years, following the census cycle, for more than 45 years. According to all scenarios, Canada's population would continue to become older in the coming years at both the national and the provincial and territorial levels. Read More 2017 National Tables. This statistical program develops population projections for Canada, provinces and territories by age and sex, based on various assumptions on the components of population growth. Other indicators visualized on maps: (In English only, for now) Adolescent fertility rate (births per 1,000 women ages 15-19) The publication Population Projections for Canada (2018 to 2068), Provinces and Territories (2018 to 2043): Technical Report on Methodology and Assumptions (Catalogue number91-620-X) is also available. The infographic "What will the population of Canada look like in 2068?," part of Statistics Canada — Infographics (Catalogue number11-627-M), is now available. United Nations projections are also included through the year 2100. This value can differ from the Yearly % Change shown in the historical table, which shows the last year equivalent percentage change assuming the homogeneous change in the preceding five year period. By 2068, the proportion of the population aged 65 and older would reach between 21.4% and 29.5%, depending on the scenario. This edition of the Population Projections for Canada, Provinces and Territories maintains the tradition of providing users with detailed results by age and sex for all Canadian provinces and territories. The population of the provinces and territories is projected up to the year 2043, and the population of Canada up to the year 2068. Please create an employee account to be able to mark statistics as favorites. During the same period, the share of the working-age population—that is, people aged 15 to 64, most of whom are in the labour force—would decrease according to all projection scenarios, from 66.7% in 2018 to between 57.9% and 61.4% in 2068. and over 1 Mio. The other Prairie provinces would also see considerable growth over the next 25 years: by 2043, the combined population of Manitoba, Saskatchewan, and Alberta would be slightly larger than Quebec's population in all projection scenarios. The starting point for this edition of Population Projections for Canada, Provinces and Territories is the July 1, 2018 population estimates. This report is divided into four sections. Population growth, however, is likely to vary across the country, with the population of some provinces and territories increasing and others decreasing. Readers can now access the publications Population Projections for Canada (2018 to 2068), Provinces and Territories (2018 to 2043), Population Projections for Canada (2018 to 2068), Provinces and Territories (2018 to 2043): Technical Report on Methodology and Assumptions, as well as the new infographic "What will the population of Canada look like in 2068?". By 2068, the number of Canadians aged 80 and older would reach 5.5 million according to the medium-growth scenario, compared with 1.6 million in 2018. COVID 19 Benefits, Credits, And Support For Canadian, 10 Reasons Why You Should Be Proud Canadian On This Canada day, Cities With Best Hospitals In Canada 2019, Cities With Highest Cost of Living In Canada 2019, Secure off Campus Internet Access powered by VPN, Healthy Diet as Teen, Less Weight Gain as Adult, 10 Ways to Earn Money While You’re Sleeping, U of T Hold black students only Graduation Ceremony today, The Countries Most Addicted to Coffee 2020, The Best Hospitals In United Kingdom 2020, The Best Exercises to Ease Stress and Anxiety. Various confidentiality rules are applied to all data that are released or published to prevent the publication or disclosure of any information deemed confidential. Overview and forecasts on trending topics, Key figures and rankings about brands and companies, Consumer insights and preferences in various industries, Detailed information about political and social topics, All key figures about regions and countries, Everything you need to know about Consumer Goods, Identify market potentials of the digital future, Insights into the world's most important technology markets, Figures and insights about the advertising and media world, Everything you need to know about the industry development, Find studies from all around the internet. In contrast, the Atlantic provinces would have the largest proportion of those aged 65 and older in the country, with this proportion surpassing 30% for Newfoundland and Labrador in all scenarios.
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