Why he can’t win: All three of his career victories have been over 2400m and two of those were as a three-year-old. The international raiders have started their assault on the spring carnival.Japanese Mer De Glace produced a superb staying performance to win the Caulfield Cup. FOR: One for the Melbourne Cup fairytale annals if he wins. While son Joseph has already tasted Melbourne Cup success, the race has so far eluded champion trainer Aidan O'Brien who went so close with Johannes Vermeer in the 2017. His behaviour in the yard would generally turn you away, he is a free sweater, a trait that has followed him throughout his career. After failing to measure up there, he then scored over 2400m by 12 lengths at the Curragh in restricted class before stepping up sharply in grade again to tackle the likes of Stradivarius in the G2 Lonsdale Cup, finishing a handy third. Van Dijk reportedly facing 'seven or eight months out' after star 'injures ACL', How hard does McGregor hit? However, the lack of a recent lead up run should not be any concern as he thrives off a light preparation. Career record: 12:6-2-1 Will he/won’t he: He probably has no chance, but a good run wouldn’t surprise, simply because he’s been locked in for this race since May and Anthony Freedman has been given the chance to set a path for him that doesn’t require him to win races. Will he/won’t he: I don’t have him on top, but he’s a genuine winning chance. He's not shown quite the same spark since his Dubai Gold Cup victory back in March but clearly thrives at Flemington and will have been targeted for this. Stay in control. He will be carrying condition in the yard that is just make-up. Trainer: Jisashi Shimizu (JPN) Become a member to join in Australia's biggest sporting debate, submit articles, receive updates straight to your inbox and keep up with your favourite teams and authors. Is lightly raced and has shown enormous potential abroad. I prefer to see a horse competing over distance nice and relaxed in the yard and conserving their energy, staying dry and not perspiring, but that also depends on the individual, some horses do naturally have a sweat or are active in the yard, which means you need to recognise what is typical behavior and what isn't. Historically, in recent times, horses that carry big weights to win the Hotham invariably run well in the Cup. Although there are question marks over his staying ability, he showed enough in the Caulfield Cup to suggest he can be in the finish. Will he/won’t he: I really like his chances. Odds: $15. Weight: 55.5kg Weight: 55kg 679215 Registered office: 1 London Bridge Street, London, SE1 9GF. It’s the only race that actually stops the entire nation for the three and a bit minutes that it takes to run and became part of Australian folklore long ago. Comments are subject to our community guidelines, which can be viewed, Mer De Glace was a fine winner of the Caulfield Cup and disputes favouritism for tomorrow's race, Cross Counter is back to try and win the Melbourne Cup for a second time, Hunting Horn was a fine winner at Moonee Valley last time out, Ebor winner Mustajeer has a massive chance in the Melbourne Cup, Trainer Charlie Fellowes likes the chances of Prince Of Arran in the Melbourne Cup, Templegate gives his two cents on the Melbourne Cup, Ryan Moore has opted to ride Magic Wand over Il Paradiso, Bizarre moment a horse smashes through the rails at Yarmouth racecourse and charges around people's gardens, Independent Press Standards Organisation (IPSO). View our online Press Pack. Jockey: Jordan Childs (AUS) » CHAMPION: Vow And Declare finishes first, Spring racing selections: The Everest and Caulfield Cup day tips for Saturday, 17 October, Spring racing selections: Randwick and Caulfield tips for Saturday, 10 October, The history of the Caulfield Guineas and Spring Champion day, Spring racing selections: Randwick and Flemington tips for Saturday, 3 October, Swooping magpie smashes into jockey, fails to stop race win. He made further improvement off that last start to finish second in the Caulfield Cup getting to the line better than most in what was an eye-catching Melbourne Cup trial. Career record: 37:6-7-5 Url copied to clipboard. Jockey: Brett Prebble (AUS) Damian Lane has ridden the winners of every major this year (Golden Slipper, Caulfield Cup, Cox Plate) so it would be a fairytale to become to be the first to achieve the grand slam in a calendar year. Another outsider, it would be a massive shock if he won and his 100-1 price-tag says it all. After winning at Randwick second up over 2000m at Randwick, Finche was just touched off in the Turnbull Stakes before a luckless fifth in the Caulfield Cup last time out. Consistent four-year-old has very strong claims on his second in the Caulfield Cup last time and if as good over this longer trip, will hold an obvious chance. We have analysed every single horse in the field and our complete 2019 Melbourne Cup tips can be found below! The best Australian hope of wresting the Cup away from the international runners lies with Surprise Baby who earned his spot in the race by winning the Bart Cummings at his last run in early October. Weight: 55kg On that occasion, after starting from barrier 15, Finche was three and four wide throughout. Bred: Ireland The 159th running of the Melbourne Cup will provide an interesting challenge for champion Australian trainers David Hayes and Chris … Weight: 52.5kg Bred: Ireland Jockey: Kerrin McEvoy (AUS) Barrier: 23 24 of the best stayers in the world have been assembled in the 2019 Melbourne Cup field and we are set for a truly outstanding race at Flemington on Tuesday. Of the others, Surprise Baby and Vow And Declare make the most appeal. (Photo: Brett Holburt/Racing Photos via Getty Images), Five-year-old bay/brown entire That’s a huge swing for a horse that did only win by a length last time. Joseph O'Brien bought a fresh Downdraft to Australia who debuted in the Moonee Valley Cup running third to Hunting Horn validating the 115 Timeform rating he ran at his last prior in Ireland when third in the Irish St Leger Trial behind Southern France. 2019 Melbourne Cup Day Tips & Preview. He beat Latrobe in his maiden on a heavy track, but I have Latrobe finishing in front of him at Flemington. His Caulfield Cup win underlines the strength of that Japanese form and while Mer de Glace is an exciting prospect there does remain a slight query over his ability to produce a similar effort in the Melbourne Cup, especially as he received a one kilo penalty and the recent poor record of Caulfield Cup winners in the Melbourne Cup. Not used to rain-affected tracks, either. If he brings his absolute best he can run a place, but I have him just better than midfield. Only lightly raced, Vow And Declare will relish the step up to 3200m today and should make further improvement off his 117 Timeform rating. Trainer: Joseph O’Brien (IRE) Career record: 18:4-2-2 Trainer: Joseph O’Brien (IRE) Six-year-old bay entire Bred: Australia Barrier: 15 The New Zealand bred stayer, by former Melbourne Cup winner Shocking, will tackle the Cup third run back from a spell and after a 31 day layoff. Odds: $21. Gets the services of reigning Cup-winning jockey Kerrin McEvoy, who has produced plenty of good rides in this event. The Hayes-Dabernig Team should start bottling the water from their Euroa stable if they manage to get him to win, based on what we’ve seen this prep. I like the physical improvement he has made in 12 months, he has furnished further and filled out his big frame. She went from a maiden at Hawkesbury to winning the Queensland Oaks at Doomben. He’ll be brilliant enough to beat half the field home, but he doesn’t appeal as a winning chance. Former Sir Michael Stoute-trained galloper Mirage Dancer ran very well at his debut Australian run when third in the Caulfield Cup and stays under notice as does last year's Cup third placing Prince Of Arran who is yet to run a bad race in five Australian runs, winning twice. © 2020 Racing Victoria Limited (RV) and other parties working with it. 1. Weight: 55kg Another former Aidan O'Brien inmate, Rostropvich hasn't shown much since finishing fifth in the race last year and would need a big career-best to take this. Bred: Great Britain On a soft racing surface, Downdraft carried 59kgs to an easy victory – the highest weight carried to win the race in 62 years. Since 2001, 12 have attempted the double - all have missed a place at Flemington. Below I’ve taken a look at each horse. Odds: $15. Peaking for the right race and had a perfect build-up into a Melbourne Cup. Melbourne Cup Day 2019: Preview, tips and best bets for Flemington; Melbourne Cup day preview, tips and best bets . Bred: Ireland In last year’s Melbourne Cup he ran fourth and carries the same weight here. That run will bring the three-year-old on immensely and further improvement can be expected, especially at the roomier Flemington course where he will get every opportunity to become the third northern hemisphere bred three-year-old to win the Cup in as many years. Was also disappointing in the Irish St Leger before departing for Melbourne. Will he/won’t he: Couldn’t possibly win on form. Racing at Flemington on Melbourne Cup day Image: Getty Melbourne Cup day is upon us, with Tuesday's monster 10-race card kicking off nice and early at 10:55am (AEDT). Jockey: Wayne Lordan (IRE) Performance & security by Cloudflare, Please complete the security check to access. Odds: $15. Odds: $67. Weight: 52.5kg James Doyle will have to produce a McEvoy-like ten out of ten ride to get the job done as he’s the kind of horse that will be in traffic at some point. Giddy up punters it’s time for the Melbourne Cup (Group 1, 3200m). Bred: Germany He’s not as tough as I’d like for a Melbourne Cup prodigy. A horse that has length in its legs and visibly stands over plenty of ground (this can at times equate to stride length). Bred: Ireland Our stable of TAB Melbourne Cup tipsters and experts will be casting a keen eye over the Melbourne Cup, held on Tuesday the 6th of November at Flemington. Jockey: Joao Moreira (BRA) pic.twitter.com/9EaX1n7PbH. A sign that further improvement was clearly achievable was on display at his debut run in the Caulfield Cup finishing a most unlucky fourth, beaten just over a length behind Japanese winner Mer De Glace and pushing his Timeform rating to 122, with the prospect of more to come still. Odds: $67. Think! Prior to the Cox Plate, Magic Wand has chased home fellow inmate Magical in the Irish Champion Stakes and Bricks And Mortar in the Arlington Million. Owner Lloyd Williams has launched a massive raid on this race and has employed jockey Hugh Bowman - of Winx fame - to do the business on his six-year-old. Bred: United States Barrier: 3 Already qualified for the Melbourne Cup, Waller has carefully planned his racing programme to be fifth run back into the Cup. As ever it's a fiercely competitive contest, so here's a runner-by-runner guide to make it that little bit easier for you. Trainer: Aidan O’Brien (IRE) Bred: Ireland The Sydney and Adelaide Cups are more in her wheelhouse. However, he has a big weight and this trip could test his stamina, so he's passed over in favour of MUSTAJEER. But for most, it’s about getting the afternoon off work to delete a few Tuesday champagnes. St Leger also-ran is tried in blinkers here for Aidan O'Brien, and if that ekes out a little improvement then he could go very close. Only lightly raced he contested the Irish Derby won by Sovereign after winning a Leopardstown maiden in May. Weight: 55.5kg. One for the exotics. You may need to download version 2.0 now from the Chrome Web Store. Barrier: 9 Will he/won’t he: This Kiwi is a horse on the rise and one to watch going forward, but he might not be brilliant enough to win a Melbourne Cup. Historically, Mirage Dancer is best suited to firm ground. He didn't get much of a run that day and will probably need luck again if Spencer does his usual, but he's certainly not without a chance if the breaks come.
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