Halladay had mixed success from ages 21-24, getting demoted to the minors in 2000 when he posted a 10.64 ERA. (In some ways, this should also spur a closer look at the career of Johan Santana, another pitcher with a short career and a great peak, who "only" won two Cys but should have had a third. A Hall of Fame voter, Heyman doesn't just randomly select which guys will get in and which won't. And as far as rate stats go, "dominant" is the right word to describe deGrom throughout his career. Win another Cy Young Award. Per Jon Heyman of Fancred Sports, six of the others are enshrined in Cooperstown. Jacob deGrom joins Hall of Fame company in historic outing New York Mets ace Jacob deGrom did something on Wednesday that’s only been done by few others … That has been five years of his career. That would give him an even dozen in this truncated season. Listen on Apple Podcasts | Spotify, Jalen Rose: Renaissance Man
(Emphasis on starting pitchers, not relievers like Mariano Rivera or Bruce Sutter. That he was something of a "late bloomer" is going to prevent deGrom from piling up the bulk numbers or massive counting stats that other great starters have had. This is deGrom’s Hall of Fame path. A thumbs-up sign that could ease Yankees' fans concerns, THE BEST INSIGHTS FROM THE ULTIMATE INSIDERS, Blue Rush: A NY Giants Podcast
The 7 years in a row, where the player performed his best. The other, Phil Niekro, was a knuckleballer who made his debut in 1964 and pitched until he was 48. Welcome to history, Mr. deGrom (if he wins this year's Cy). deGrom could get there, or at least come close. He is trying to make up for a late start to his major league career and evolve from impressive to immortal. Jacob deGrom may be the most unlikely superstar in the history of American sports. Six of the nine are in the Hall of Fame, two are still active, and one is Clemens. deGrom went on to win the National League Rookie of the Year Award in what was his age-26 campaign. deGrom is on his way to Hall if he wins this, starting pitchers who are currently in the Hall of Fame. Sandy Koufax: 46.0. ( Log Out / Not Yet, Says Jon Heyman. is what will happen if he does. That's because Kershaw was a highly touted first-round pick out of high school who was in the big leagues at age 20 ... while deGrom was a college shortstop who didn't reach the Majors until 26 and didn't make his first Opening Day roster until he was 27. He probably will never make it to 200. But let's play this out for a minute, for fun. As MLB.com's Thomas Harrigan noted earlier this summer when he looked into this, a late-debut Hall of Famer is not unprecedented, though it hasn't exactly happened very often in the past few decades. We've received your submission. Here's how deGrom's career numbers look in some big-picture stats: Innings: 1,149 2/3Games: 179WAR: 33.5ERA+: 151, Now, let's look at all starting pitchers who are currently in the Hall of Fame, trying to find those with the lowest totals in those numbers since 1901. He's already 32, as well, which could factor into his cumulative stats, such as strikeouts (1,325). But the point here is, after eight starts over seven weeks of this shortened season, deGrom has done nothing at all to change his status as baseball's best pitcher, and if, when ballots are submitted three weeks from now, he's again at the top, it wouldn't be surprising. Not to mention three in a row, which only Maddux (1992-95) and Johnson (1999-02) have managed on their way to four straight? Clayton Kershaw and his 1.98 ERA? Jacob deGrom has passed Tim Lincecum on the way to Johan Santana, with Roy Halladay as the destination. He had nine terrific seasons, just five with 30-plus starts and received 2.4 percent of the vote in his only year on the Hall ballot — falling below the 5 percent necessary to stay on. He has a 1.69 ERA. Zach Grienke: 48.0 He is, after all, the best pitcher in baseball. A total of 10 pitchers have won at least three Cy Youngs, and seven -- Randy Johnson, Steve Carlton, Greg Maddux, Sandy Koufax, Pedro Martinez, Jim Palmer and Tom Seaver -- are in the Hall of Fame. That would seem to be a slam dunk. In his lone postseason, he had a 2.88 ERA in four starts. Nine -- Old Hoss Radbourn, Joe McGinnity, Jack Chesbro, Eddie Plank, Mordecai Brown, Red Faber, Lefty Grove, Carl Hubbell and Bob Lemon -- debuted before integration. This alone should be enough to take deGrom to the Hall of Fame in Cooperstown. Many Hall of Fame players have very good, and very long careers. If he can repeat that over the next five years, he will be one of, if not, the dominant pitcher of his era. He needs at least two more good years to even get to 100 (he is at 66). That said, there’s still a clear path for deGrom to earn enshrinement. Change ), You are commenting using your Google account. We'll see.". The average Hall of Fame starting pitcher has a 7 year peak War of 50, including many notable names for Mets fans. Basically a three-way tie here, and this can change quickly. deGrom does have a few things working against him, when it comes to making it to Cooperstown. Six threw their first MLB pitch before World War I (Joe McGinnity, Mordecai Brown, Eddie Plank, Red Faber, Old Hoss Radbourn, Jack Chesbro), and the other two were down before World War II concluded (Lefty Grove, Carl Hubbell). Could deGrom win a third straight Cy? And as good as it is now, it could get better. (It is, however, an unexpected development for a 32-year-old pitcher. Yes, I know a lot more went into Gooden's downfall than just a drop in performance, and I'm not saying that anything even slightly reminiscent of Gooden's drop off will happen to deGrom. The traditional markers of a Hall of Fame pitcher- like 300 wins or 3000 strike outs- just won’t work for deGrom. Is Jacob deGrom a Hall of Famer? As we have seen, however, with deGrom’s consecutive Cy Youngs, the modern Baseball Writers Association of America voter has downgraded wins as an important stat — and the veteran members of the BBWAA vote for the Hall of Fame. It's hard to make a case for any of them ahead of our big four, at least among the metrics voters are likely to rely upon. Sonny Gray? Mets ace Jacob deGrom has enjoyed a brilliant start to his MLB career and could go down as one of the greatest hurlers of his generation, but his relatively late arrival means his Hall of Fame journey will continue to be an uphill climb, albeit one he may be equipped. ( Log Out / deGrom most likely is not going to rack up the stats needed to make the Hall of Fame over a long and storied career, like many other players have done. He ranks in the top-10 pitchers of all time in WHIP (1.046), SO/9 (10.373), SO/BB (4.783), and adjusted ERA+ (151). Do Not Sell My Personal Information. He’s fifth in Wins Above Replacement, per Baseball-Reference, among such hurlers since the start of the Live Ball Era in 1920. This is also an achievable goal. Let's stick with these four. He's tremendous...Not just talent-wise, but he's one of the guys that's a smart pitcher and just has absolutely electric stuff," Alonso said (via Scott Thompson of SNY). Tim Lincecum won't get in, and Denny McLain, Bret Saberhagen and Johan Santana didn't either. deGrom has recorded an ERA+ of 148 in his career, which ties him with Grove for fourth among those with at least 1,000 frames. But Dean threw 1,728 ¹/₃ innings in his six-year peak, Koufax 1,632 ²/₃ and deGrom 1,101 ²/₃. Gwynn Jr. agreed, looking at a span of 10 years of dominance as Hall-of-Fame worthy. Perhaps a little more interesting than wondering if he can win a third straight Cy (sure!) Winning the Cy Young award for a third straight year would put deGrom in elite company. deGrom leads the NL in this, and he is second in the Majors only to Shane Bieber of Cleveland. Pitching well in the playoffs could also solidify deGrom’s changes. It’s more of a toss-up with pitchers who received the honor twice, as Bob Gibson, Gaylord Perry, Tom Glavine and Roy Halladay are in the Hall of Fame, while Denny McLain, Bret Saberhagen and Johan Santana are not. His teammate, Pete Alonso, who summed up his thoughts in a post-game interview. Selected by the Mets in the ninth round of the 2010 MLB Draft out of Stetson University, deGrom took four years to reach the Majors, his trajectory delayed by Tommy John surgery. deGrom's 69-50 is hardly impressive, yet the electorate has already begun to change what stats they consider, and that is likely to only continue in the dozen more years or so it will take before he can be considered.). Alone, having two Cy Young Awards, 2,000 K’s or a 140 ERA+ might not guarantee enshrinement, but together, the package could be good enough to get deGrom elected. For my book, that defines a Hall of Famer.”. For the purposes of this discussion, we're going to say there's something like a four-way tie at the top of this race: deGrom, Yu Darvish, Trevor Bauer and Corbin Burnes. That he lost the 2005 race to Bartolo Colon was a clear mistake even 15 years ago, and it remains one of baseball's largest award injustices. Only 10 starting pitchers have been enshrined in Cooperstown after debuting in their age-25 season or later. After a late start to his career, does the New York Mets Ace have enough to make it to Cooperstown . Mets ace Jacob deGrom has enjoyed a brilliant start to his MLB career and could go down as one of the greatest hurlers of his generation, but his relatively late arrival means his Hall of Fame journey will continue to be an uphill climb, albeit one he may be equipped to make. Six of the previous 8 are in the Hall of Fame. Meanwhile, Justin Verlander and Corey Kluber are still active, along with deGrom.
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